Katrín Leads Prósent Poll For First Time

ísland forseti

Former Prime Minister Katrín Jakobsdóttir leads in a poll by market research company Prósent for the first time, reports Morgunblaðið.

Though this is her first time ranking first in a Prósent poll, the former Prime Minister also led in a recent Gallup poll. Katrín also leads in a recent Maskína poll from May 17.

Katrín leads polls

According to the latest numbers, Katrín leads with 22.1%, followed by Halla Hrund Logadóttir (19.7%), Baldur Þórhallson (18.2%), Halla Tómasdóttir (16.2%), and Jón Gnarr (13.4%).

In total, the top five candidates comprise some 90% of votes in the latest poll.

A turning point?

The latest results, with Katrín now leading in three major polls, may represent a turning point in the presidential race. Previously, Halla Hrund Logadóttir had led for some weeks, though admittedly by a relatively small margin.

In the latest Prósent poll, Katrín leads Halla Hrund by some 2.4 percentage points, and recent polls by Gallup and Maskína show similar results. The recent Gallup and Maskína polls also show the same relative positions for the other candidates.

Readers interested in the 2024 Icelandic presidential race may be interested in our recent interview with the major presidential candidates.








New Presidential Poll Shows Reversal Between Baldur, Katrín

Katrín Jakobsdóttir Bjarni Benediktsson Sigurður Ingi Ráðherra

Latest polling figures indicate that professor of political science Baldur Þórhallsson and now-former PM Katrín Jakobsdóttir currently lead the race. Baldur stands at 25.8%, while Katrín stands at 22.1%.

The poll was conducted by market research company Prósent on behalf of Mogunblaðið.

A slight reversal from previous results

Polling last week showed Katrín with an advantage over Baldur, with 30% support over his 26%. This week’s polling seems to represent something of a switch between the two frontrunners.

However, given the proximity of the latest results and with plenty of time to go until the June 1 election, it seems it’s still a close race.

The poll was conducted from April 9 to 14, sampling some 2,300 individuals across Iceland.

Clear frontrunners, but still a crowded field

Following them is Jón Gnarr, an actor and former mayor of Reykjavík, with 16.8%. Following Jón Gnarr is Halla Hrund Logadóttir, director of the National Energy Regulatory, with some 10.6% in the latest poll. This makes four candidates with more than 10% support.

Three other candidates in the poll, Halla Tómasdóttir, Arnar Þór Jónsson, and Steinunn Ólina Þorsteinsdóttir, had levels of support under 5%, with the remaining candidates all falling under 1%.

It’s important to note, however, that the deadline for candidacy is April 26, so more candidates may yet announce their campaigns.