Just under eight per cent of Icelanders who responded to a recent survey stated they would vote for Trump in the upcoming US election if they could cast a ballot, Fréttablaðið reports. Nearly 82% stated they would vote for Biden. Eight per cent did not know who they would vote for and just under 3% chose not to answer the question. The survey was conducted by Zenter for Fréttablaðið newspaper, and its results are in line with other European countries, according to one Icelandic political scientist.
“Icelanders have always supported the Democrats over the Republicans, as Europeans [have] in general,” stated Eiríkur Bergmann, professor of political science at Bifröst University. He adds, however, that Europeans’ distrust of Trump is greater than has ever been the case for any Republican president. “We need to look back to the situation around George W. Bush during the invasion of Iraq to find something close to this. But Bush was still more popular than Trump.”
More Icelandic Men than Women Support Trump
The survey results showed a significant gender difference: 14% of male respondents said they would vote for Trump while only 4% of female respondents stated they would. Support for Trump increased with age, with the exception of the very youngest age group (18-24). Trump enjoyed the most support from Icelanders aged 65 and older, though still just 15% of that age group stated they would vote for him if they could vote in the US election in November.
Centre Party Supporters Most Likely to Vote Trump
Respondents’ political affiliation in Iceland also showed some correlation with their support of each US candidate. Not a single respondent who supports the Social-Democratic Alliance, nor a single supporter of the Progressive Party stated they would vote for Trump. Those who supported the Centre Party were most likely to say they would vote for the sitting US president, though they were still in the minority within their party. While 55% of the Centre Party’s supporters stated they would vote for Biden, 45% preferred Trump.
The Centre Party was formed when a group of politicians split from the Progressive Party in 2017. Eíríkur stated the survey “shows there was a real difference between those who left the Progressive Party and joined the Centre Party at the time,” and points to the split being rooted in ideological differences rather than simple party politics.
The survey was sent to 2,500 individuals between September 23 and 28, and had 1,281 respondents (51%).