Woman who Defied the Polls Skip to content

Woman who Defied the Polls

Guðni Th. Jóhannesson’s victory in Iceland’s presidential election came as no surprise. He had been leading the polls, ever since he announced his candidacy. What surprised voters, however, was the strong support received by Halla Tómasdóttir, MBA, who came in second with 27.9 percent of the vote. Polls had predicted she would receive no more than18.6 percent, RÚV reports.

On May 11, a poll by Fréttablaðið had measured her following among voters as one percent, while Guðni received 69 percent. Previous polls had shown her with 1.7-3 percent support.

On May 27, she was asked if she was pulling out of the race. This was the day of the first presidential debate. Then her support began growing. By June 3, it was up to 7.3 percent. June 13, it measured 12.3 percent.

Two polls were published last Wednesday, one giving her 16.3 percent of the vote, the other 19.6. The last poll was published Friday, indicating 18.6 percent support.

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