Katrín and Halla Hrund Level-Pegging in Latest Survey Skip to content

Katrín and Halla Hrund Level-Pegging in Latest Survey

By Ragnar Tómas

Katrín and Halla Hrund level-pegging in recent survey.
Photo: Katrín Jakobsdóttir / Halla Hrund Logadóttir.

In a recent survey conducted by the School of Social Sciences at the University of Iceland, Katrín Jakobsdóttir leads with 29.9% of the votes, closely followed by Halla Hrund Logadóttir at 27.6%. Jón Gnarr, whose support was measured at 15-20% in previous polls, is polling at 7.4% according to this new survey.

Katrín, Halla Hrund polling strongly

Katrín Jakobsdóttir leads with 29.9% of the votes in a new poll conducted by the School of Social Sciences at the University of Iceland between April 22 to April 30. Halla Hrund Logadóttir follows closely with 27.6%. However, no statistically significant difference is measured between the two candidates.

This is the first poll released since the candidates were confirmed, although it was partly conducted before their confirmation.

The results mark a noticeable shift from recent surveys by Maskína and Prósent, where support for Katrín had significantly declined: from roughly 31% in the Gallup poll published about two weeks ago to 18% in the Prósent poll. In the University poll, Baldur Þórhallsson’s support sits at 23.6%, which is significantly lower than Halla Hrund, but similar to his ratings in the last two polls.

Jón Gnarr suffers a dip

As noted by RÚV, the key revelation of the survey may revolve around Jón Gnarr, who has been polling at between 15-20% in surveys over the past month. This time, however, his support measures only 7.4%, marking a stark decrease of more than half compared to previous polls.

Other candidates are all polling below 5%: Halla Tómasdóttir would receive 4.5% of the votes if the elections were held now, and Arnar Þór Jónsson would receive 4.1%. Other candidates are polling with or within 1% support, according to the survey.

The poll was conducted before it was clear that Viktor Traustason would be a presidential candidate. The National Electoral Commission initially declared his candidacy invalid, but after the Election Complaints Committee invalidated that decision, the National Electoral Commission deemed his candidacy valid.

Baldur most popular among young voters

Katrín and Baldur enjoy the most support among female voters, with about 30% of them inclined to vote for either of them individually. Men would mostly vote for Katrín and Halla Hrund, with each garnering the support of 30% of male voters according to the survey.

Katrín garners significant support among the oldest voters, with Halla following closely behind. Baldur enjoys the most support among the youngest voters.

Sign up for our weekly newsletter

Get news from Iceland, photos, and in-depth stories delivered to your inbox every week!

* indicates required

Subscribe to Iceland Review

In-depth stories and high-quality photography showcasing life in Iceland!