Katrín and Halla Neck and Neck in Most Recent Presidential Poll Skip to content

Katrín and Halla Neck and Neck in Most Recent Presidential Poll

By Yelena

Halla Hrund Logadóttir, Halla Tómasdóttir, and Katrín Jakobsdóttir
Photo: From left: Halla Hrund Logadóttir, Halla Tómasdóttir, and Katrín Jakobsdóttir. Photographer: Art Bicnick.

Just two days until Iceland’s presidential election and Katrín Jakobsdóttir and Halla Tómasdóttir are neck and neck in Maskína’s latest poll, released today. Both received 24.1% support in the poll, conducted between May 27 and May 30. This presidential race has been a close and exciting one, with a record number of candidates, several of whom still appear to have a shot at the presidency. The poll was conducted for Vísir, Stöð 2, and Bylgjan.

Katrín’s following shrinks, Halla’s grows

While Katrín’s following dropped slightly from Maskína’s last poll, released on May 23, Halla Tómasdóttir’s rose significantly. The third-place candidate, according to the poll’s results, is Halla Hrund Logadóttir, with 18.4%. Halla Hrund also saw a rise in her following compared to last week’s poll. The top three candidates are followed by Baldur Þórhallsson with 15.4% support, Jón Gnarr with 9.9% support and Arnar Þór Jónsson with 5.0% support. The remaining six candidates have a combined 3.2%.

Many voters decide last minute

Ólafur Þ. Harðarson, professor emeritus in political science who has decades of experience leading research on Icelandic elections, stated that this Presidential race is the most exciting one since Vigdís Finnbogadóttir was narrowly elected in 1980 to become the first democratically-elected female head of state in the world. Polls have shown significant shifts in following in recent weeks, and according to Ólafur, research has shown an increasing number of voters make up their minds last-minute.

Read more about Iceland’s 2024 presidential candidates.

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