If the results of the latest surveys are an indication of how the parliamentary election on April 27 will turn out, 30 new MPs, 15 men and 15 women, will enter parliament next term. In turn, a number of experienced MPs will lose their seat in parliament.
Alþingi, the Icelandic parliament. Photo: Páll Kjartansson/Iceland Review.
Among them are two current ministers: Minister of Welfare Guðbjartur Hannesson of the Social Democrats and Minister of the Interior Ögmundur Jónasson of the Left-Greens, as news analyst Egill Helgason points out on his blog.
University of Iceland political science professor Ólafur Þ. Harðarson told Morgunblaðið that it looks as if there will be more fluctuations in support for parties in the coming election than has ever happened before in modern Icelandic politics.
Ólafur pointed out that support for the Progressive Party and new parties is up by 45 percent. “A comparable number from 1930 has always been below 15 percent except twice,” he said in reference to the 1987 and 2009 elections when the fluctuation was 20-25 percent.