Governing Coalition Least Popular Since Banking Collapse Skip to content

Governing Coalition Least Popular Since Banking Collapse

By Erik Pomrenke

Alþingishúsið
Photo: Photo: Golli. Alþingishúsið .

The latest numbers from Gallup show declining support for the current coalition, with numbers never lower since Geir Haarde’s government which presided over the banking collapse.

According to the latest numbers, the Social Democratic Alliance and the Progressive Party have lost the most support, while the Reform Party and the People’s Party have gained the most. Despite its losses, the Social Democratic Alliance still sees the highest level of support.

Read more: Support for Independence Party at Record Low

According to Gallup, support for the Social Democratic Alliance would decrease by a total of 3% if an election were held today. The last poll numbers showed support hovering around 30%, but the new level of 27% would mean 19 MPs. As stated however, the Social Democratic Alliance remains the most popular at the moment.

The Progressive Party has also seen a significant drop, from 9.9% support to 6.6%. If an election were held today, the party would get 4 MPs.

The Independence Party measured at 18.5%, translating to 13 MPs.

gallup poll july 2024
gallup.is

Read more: Waning Support for Left-Greens

The parties that gain the most from the recent poll are the Reform Party and the People’s Party, both parties seeing an increase of around 2%. Currently, the Reform Party polls at 9.4% and the People’s Party at 7.4%. If an election were held today, the Reform Party would take six MPs, and the People’s Party five.

The Centre Party gained one per cent, increasing from 13.5% to 14.5%, and would get 10 MPs.

The Pirate Party continues to have 8.8% support and would get 6 MPs.

The Left-Green Movement has marginally recovered from its recent low, moving from 3.3% to 4.0%. However, based on these numbers, if an election were held today the party, which is currently in the governing coalition, would not pass the 5% threshold for parliamentary representation.

The recent poll also shows 28% support for the current coalition, a record low since the banking collapse.

The data is based on a representative sample from Gallup’s Opinion Panel, selected randomly from Registers Iceland to reflect the demographics of the Icelandic population.

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